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XAUUSD H1 Technical Analysis — October 16, 2026

XAUUSD
Gold vs US Dollar
4160.05
H1 · bar 15.10.2026 22:00
computed 20:06:58
Summary STRONG BUY
Moving Averages STRONG BUY buy 11 · sell 1
Technical Indicators STRONG BUY buy 9 · sell 1 · neutral 1

Pivot Points from the previous bar 15.10.2026 21:00

NameS3S2S1PivotR1R2R3
Classic 4148.18 4150.56 4154.12 4156.50 4160.06 4162.44 4166.00
Fibonacci 4150.56 4152.83 4154.23 4156.50 4158.77 4160.17 4162.44
Camarilla 4156.06 4156.60 4157.15 4156.50 4158.23 4158.78 4159.32
Woodie's 4148.78 4150.86 4154.72 4156.80 4160.66 4162.73 4166.60
DeMark's — — 4155.31 4157.09 4161.25 — —

Technical Indicators

NameValueAction
RSI(14) 59.603 Buy
STOCH(9,6) 62.622 Buy
STOCHRSI(14) 84.239 Overbought
MACD(12,26) 6.26 Buy
ADX(14) 18.705 Neutral
Williams %R -22.272 Buy
CCI(14) 123.445 Buy
ATR(14) 13.45 Less Volatility
Highs/Lows(14) 10.57 Buy
Ultimate Oscillator 53.181 Buy
ROC 0.339 Buy
Bull/Bear Power(13) 18.61 Buy

Moving Averages

PeriodSimpleActionExponentialAction
MA5 4153.59 Buy 4155.73 Buy
MA10 4153.23 Buy 4152.80 Buy
MA20 4149.50 Buy 4147.11 Buy
MA50 4139.23 Buy 4145.45 Buy
MA100 4160.44 Sell 4150.11 Buy
MA200 4150.77 Buy 4159.48 Buy

Chart with the markup last 220 bars

4056.694092.854129.014165.184201.344237.5002.10 10:0005.10 23:0007.10 13:0009.10 03:0012.10 16:0014.10 06:0015.10 19:000ABC?0(1)(2)(3)(W4 0.236) 4103.30(W4 0.382) 4121.86C 1.000xA 4138.38C 0.618xA 4149.90C 1.618xA 4119.74invalid 4168.54

Elliott Waves

Sequence
Flat dn A-B-C?
Before that
no finished 5- or 3-wave model ends there (20 swings to choose from)
Pattern
Flat down · confidence 81.7%
Current wave
C in progress
Ratios
B/A 1.23
Before that (higher)
no finished 5- or 3-wave model ends there (43 swings to choose from)
Higher degree
Impulse dn (1)-(2)-(3)
Alternate count
Flat down · 70.0%
Forecast: wave C · wave A from end of wave BPriceBasis
Target 14138.38C 1.000xA
Target 24149.90C 0.618xA
Target 34119.74C 1.618xA
Invalidation 4168.54 end of wave B
Higher degree forecast: wave 4 · retrace of wave 3PriceBasis
Target 14121.86W4 0.382
Target 24103.30W4 0.236
Target 34136.86W4 0.500
Invalidation 4150.55 end of wave 1 (overlap)
Count is dead 4151.32 level taken out 15.10.2026 04:00